Scwibremetric Projections - Season 11

Ladies and gentlemen and peio,
The time has come unveil the first batch of projections from the prestigious Society for Cobb World Imaginary Baseball Research (SCWIBR). Three years ago, when the SCWIBR was founded, they announced their intention to perform research and analysis in an attempt to provide objective, quantitative methods to accurately predict the performance of individual players and teams. Unfortunately, until recently, the SCWIBR team seemed more interested in throwing poop than performing any real work. However, SCWIBR installed new leadership one month ago and has started the innovative "banana incentive" program to motivate their team. Born out of fresh motivation, here are your Season 11 Scwibremetric projections.

These are the flat team ratings. This only takes the ratings of the players on each team into account and uses those to predict their ability to score and prevent runs.

Team	Run Scoring	Run Prevent.	TOTAL
Syracuse	65.1	68.7	133.8
Omaha	66.0	67.0	133.0
Fargo	66.2	66.2	132.4
Pawtucket	61.0	70.1	131.1
Huntington	66.2	63.9	130.1
Sioux Falls	64.9	65.1	130.0
Scranton	65.8	63.6	129.4
Wichita	64.2	65.1	129.3
Cleveland	64.8	64.5	129.3
Washington D.C.	62.0	66.1	128.1
Anaheim	63.0	64.9	127.9
Mexico City	59.9	67.1	127.0
St. Louis	59.4	66.6	126.0
Atlanta	61.3	64.2	125.5
Helena	61.8	63.6	125.5
Pittsburgh	62.0	62.8	124.9
Nashville	59.7	65.1	124.8
Richmond	64.3	60.4	124.6
Detroit	59.5	63.5	123.0
New York	59.5	63.3	122.9
Vancouver	57.7	64.8	122.5
Chicago	57.8	63.5	121.2
Jackson	58.8	60.9	119.7
Montgomery	58.4	61.2	119.6
Tacoma	56.7	62.1	118.8
Charlotte	57.6	60.6	118.3
Trenton	57.3	60.3	117.6
Honolulu	55.0	60.2	115.2
Salem	55.9	59.0	114.9
Kansas City	50.3	62.7	113.0
Iowa City	54.1	57.0	111.1
Toronto	54.9	56.2	111.1

The flat ratings shown above were then used along with each team's playing schedule to project out the number of runs they will score and give up this season. Those totals were used to calculate their expected winning percentage and win totals. These are the projected results, by division.

AL North

			Exp
Team	RS	RA	Pct	W	L
Pawtucket	868	608	0.671	109	53
Detroit	818	802	0.510	83	79
Chicago	775	805	0.481	78	84
Toronto	691	1021	0.314	51	111

AL East

			Exp
Team	RS	RA	Pct	W	L
Cleveland	950	764	0.607	98	64
Scranton	974	788	0.604	98	64
Washington D.C.	885	724	0.599	97	65
Pittsburgh	879	816	0.537	87	75

AL South

			Exp
Team	RS	RA	Pct	W	L
Mexico City	844	697	0.595	96	66
Nashville	836	755	0.551	89	73
Charlotte	776	886	0.434	70	92
Kansas City	595	837	0.335	54	108

AL West

			Exp
Team	RS	RA	Pct	W	L
Anaheim	920	748	0.602	98	64
Helena	889	785	0.562	91	71
Vancouver	787	759	0.518	84	78
Tacoma	755	836	0.449	73	89

NL North

			Exp
Team	RS	RA	Pct	W	L
Fargo	1021	746	0.652	106	56
Sioux Falls	985	781	0.614	99	63
New York	845	841	0.503	81	81
Trenton	783	937	0.411	67	95

NL East

			Exp
Team	RS	RA	Pct	W	L
Syracuse	998	673	0.687	111	51
Wichita	968	782	0.605	98	64
St. Louis	848	744	0.565	92	70
Atlanta	891	812	0.546	89	73

NL South

			Exp
Team	RS	RA	Pct	W	L
Huntington	1019	803	0.617	100	62
Richmond	961	909	0.528	85	77
Jackson	823	903	0.454	74	88
Montgomery	812	894	0.452	73	89

NL West

			Exp
Team	RS	RA	Pct	W	L
Omaha	1019	717	0.669	108	54
Honolulu	725	934	0.376	61	101
Salem	746	969	0.372	60	102
Iowa City	696	1032	0.313	51	111

Based on these projected win totals, these would be your playoff qualifiers.

American League
1. Pawtucket (109 wins)
2. Cleveland (98 wins)
3. Anaheim (98 wins)
4. Mexico City (96 wins)
5. Scranton (98 wins)
6. Helena (91 wins)

National League
1. Syracuse (111 wins)
2. Omaha (108 wins)
3. Fargo (106 wins)
4. Huntington (100 wins)
5. Sioux Falls (100 wins)
6. Wichita (98 wins)